Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.7%
Aldershot
15.9%
Draw
11.4%
Maidstone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Aldershot
vs
1.09
Maidstone
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.574.8%
Over 3.554.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
3-0
7.5%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
5.8%
4-0
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-2
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
5-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).