Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Tamworth
30.9%
Draw
28.9%
Brackley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Tamworth
vs
1.00
Brackley Town
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).