Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Plymouth
28.0%
Draw
36.1%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Plymouth
vs
1.34
Luton
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
8.1%
1-0
8.1%
0-0
7.8%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).