Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.2%
Lincoln
10.1%
Draw
5.7%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
2.95
Lincoln
vs
0.64
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
3-0
11.8%
4-0
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-0
5.1%
1-1
4.8%
5-1
3.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).