Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Marseille
20.7%
Draw
32.0%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Marseille
vs
1.68
Monaco
Markets
BTTS70.9%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.572.3%
Over 3.551.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.5%
1-1
8.0%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-0
5.0%
3-2
4.9%
0-1
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).