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04 Jan 2026 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.9%
Queens Park Rangers
22.1%
Draw
13.0%
Sheffield Wednesday

Expected Goals (xG)

1.99

Queens Park Rangers

vs
0.78

Sheffield Wednesday

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.4%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.2%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.1%
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).