Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.6%
Lecce
29.8%
Draw
37.5%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Lecce
vs
1.07
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
12.6%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).