Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Brackley Town
34.4%
Draw
35.2%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Brackley Town
vs
0.98
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.528.7%
Over 3.511.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.6%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
14.0%
1-0
12.6%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).