Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.9%
Sampdoria
25.9%
Draw
58.2%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Sampdoria
vs
1.71
Venezia
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
12.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).