Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.1%
Bolton
19.8%
Draw
23.1%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Bolton
vs
1.20
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS59.8%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.540.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
3-2
4.0%
4-1
3.3%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).