Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Deportivo Alavés
30.1%
Draw
39.8%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Deportivo Alavés
vs
1.16
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
13.5%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
11.2%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).