Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
Chateauroux
28.9%
Draw
30.0%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Chateauroux
vs
0.87
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.5%
0-1
13.5%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).