Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Eldense
30.2%
Draw
42.5%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Eldense
vs
1.14
Eibar
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
0-3
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).