Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Bari
31.2%
Draw
37.0%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Bari
vs
1.18
Livorno
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).