Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Liverpool
27.0%
Draw
27.9%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Liverpool
vs
1.29
Brighton
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).