Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.4%
Metz
21.5%
Draw
14.1%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Metz
vs
0.63
Bastia
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
2-0
14.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
8.0%
0-1
6.9%
3-1
5.0%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).