Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Perugia
29.4%
Draw
39.9%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Perugia
vs
1.34
Como
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).