Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Nancy
25.7%
Draw
32.4%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Nancy
vs
1.08
Caen
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).