Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.1%
Ipswich
22.7%
Draw
13.2%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Ipswich
vs
0.77
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.1%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).