Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.7%
Milan
21.5%
Draw
13.9%
Udinese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Milan
vs
0.71
Udinese
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
2-0
13.3%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.1%
0-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).