Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.3%
Lens
22.1%
Draw
58.7%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Lens
vs
1.70
Lorient
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
7.0%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).