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30 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.6%
FC Koln
22.2%
Draw
42.2%
Cockfosters

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

FC Koln

vs
1.74

Cockfosters

Markets

BTTS65.4%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
0-1
6.5%
1-0
6.0%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).