Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Rio Ave
24.4%
Draw
44.8%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Rio Ave
vs
1.51
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).