Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
M'gladbach
25.3%
Draw
46.8%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
M'gladbach
vs
1.72
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.7%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).