Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.7%
Girona
24.0%
Draw
11.3%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Girona
vs
0.50
Lugo
Markets
BTTS31.1%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.8%
2-0
15.7%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-0
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-2
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).