Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.0%
Sassuolo
18.5%
Draw
10.5%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Sassuolo
vs
0.83
Spezia
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.4%
0-0
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).