Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Southend
26.1%
Draw
20.1%
Torquay
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Southend
vs
0.95
Torquay
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).