Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Brescia
29.2%
Draw
25.1%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Brescia
vs
1.00
Crotone
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
10.1%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).