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16 Dec 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.9%
Bastia
29.2%
Draw
38.9%
Quevilly Rouen

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Bastia

vs
1.03

Quevilly Rouen

Markets

BTTS37.2%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.556.5%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.0%
1-0
14.1%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).