Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Bastia
34.3%
Draw
24.7%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Bastia
vs
0.61
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS25.8%
Over 0.578.5%
Over 1.543.1%
Over 2.519.0%
Over 3.56.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
21.5%
1-0
20.9%
0-1
14.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
5.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
3-0
2.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
0-3
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).