Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.5%
Coventry
21.0%
Draw
12.5%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Coventry
vs
0.79
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.4%
4-0
4.4%
0-1
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).