Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.8%
Kidderminster
11.8%
Draw
81.5%
Ashton United
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Kidderminster
vs
2.89
Ashton United
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.549.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.2%
0-3
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
0-1
7.9%
1-3
7.9%
0-4
7.8%
1-4
5.7%
1-1
5.5%
0-5
4.5%
1-5
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).