Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.4%
Farense
16.7%
Draw
75.9%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.47
Farense
vs
2.09
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS32.5%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
16.9%
0-1
16.5%
0-3
11.8%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.2%
0-4
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
2.9%
0-5
2.6%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).