Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.3%
Carlisle
25.7%
Draw
44.0%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Carlisle
vs
1.39
Walsall
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).