Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Metz
22.7%
Draw
26.0%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Metz
vs
1.08
Troyes
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
0-0
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).