Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.8%
Burgos
27.5%
Draw
26.7%
Cordoba
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Burgos
vs
0.95
Cordoba
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).