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25 Apr 2021 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.3%
Gaziantep
33.2%
Draw
28.5%
Erzurum BB

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Gaziantep

vs
1.15

Erzurum BB

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.9%
0-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
6.2%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).