Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Pacos Ferreira
26.4%
Draw
48.4%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Pacos Ferreira
vs
1.37
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).