Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Degerfors
24.5%
Draw
27.8%
Värnamo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Degerfors
vs
1.41
Värnamo
Markets
BTTS65.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
4.8%
0-1
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
4.1%
0-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).