Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Crowborough Athletic
26.5%
Draw
40.9%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Crowborough Athletic
vs
1.42
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).