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23 Aug 2025 · 19:30

Bochum

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.7%
Schalke 04
32.8%
Draw
31.5%
Bochum

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Schalke 04

vs
0.99

Bochum

Markets

BTTS42.8%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.9%
1-0
12.3%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).