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04 Feb 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.8%
Bromley
25.2%
Draw
17.1%
Maidenhead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Bromley

vs
0.85

Maidenhead

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.0%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).