Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Cesena
28.7%
Draw
20.3%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Cesena
vs
0.85
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).