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30 Aug 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.3%
King’s Lynn
22.8%
Draw
54.9%
Chesterfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

King’s Lynn

vs
2.06

Chesterfield

Markets

BTTS63.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.2%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).