Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Virtus Entella
35.0%
Draw
33.6%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Virtus Entella
vs
0.94
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.528.2%
Over 3.511.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.1%
1-1
14.8%
0-1
13.5%
1-0
12.9%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).