Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
Sassuolo
25.5%
Draw
31.0%
Udinese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Sassuolo
vs
1.18
Udinese
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).