Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.7%
Brentford
25.9%
Draw
14.4%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Brentford
vs
0.69
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).