Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.2%
Granada
19.1%
Draw
11.7%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Granada
vs
0.71
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.3%
1-0
13.0%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
1-1
9.0%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
4.8%
0-1
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).