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AHT: 01CSV

03 Nov 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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89.4%
Barnet
8.1%
Draw
2.4%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

3.34

Barnet

vs
0.49

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS37.8%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.589.8%
Over 2.573.6%
Over 3.553.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
4-0
11.2%
5-0
7.5%
1-0
7.0%
3-1
6.6%
2-1
6.0%
4-1
5.5%
1-1
3.9%
5-1
3.7%
0-0
2.5%
3-2
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).