Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.5%
Edinburgh City
21.4%
Draw
56.0%
East Kilbride
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Edinburgh City
vs
2.45
East Kilbride
Markets
BTTS73.5%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.592.2%
Over 2.576.4%
Over 3.556.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.5%
1-1
8.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
5.4%
2-3
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
4.3%
3-2
3.4%
2-4
3.3%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).